Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 0.200379 0.227819 0.257248 0.291108 0.328944 0.369872 0.417448
2026-02-08 0.160400 0.196446 0.237685 0.288189 0.348195 0.417027 0.501769
2026-02-15 0.132474 0.173117 0.222292 0.285815 0.365307 0.461066 0.584686
2026-02-22 0.115171 0.159410 0.215638 0.291729 0.391298 0.516360 0.684413
2026-03-01 0.099253 0.144871 0.205537 0.291181 0.407856 0.559976 0.771785
2026-03-08 0.086725 0.132955 0.197046 0.291080 0.423934 0.603039 0.860438
2026-03-15 0.076679 0.123063 0.189899 0.291503 0.439904 0.646133 0.951085
2026-03-22 0.069532 0.116418 0.186419 0.296340 0.461801 0.698109 1.056577
2026-03-29 0.064131 0.111702 0.185104 0.303864 0.487638 0.756715 1.174451
2026-04-05 0.058417 0.105742 0.181138 0.306691 0.506191 0.805306 1.279986
2026-04-12 0.053990 0.101345 0.179088 0.312084 0.528668 0.860594 1.398088
2026-04-19 0.050507 0.098124 0.178545 0.319638 0.554736 0.922441 1.529090
2026-04-26 0.045612 0.091993 0.172767 0.318386 0.567059 0.964524 1.633400
2026-05-03 0.041254 0.086324 0.167211 0.316947 0.578807 1.006191 1.739234
2026-05-10 0.037371 0.081079 0.161861 0.315305 0.589897 1.047174 1.845930
2026-05-17 0.035095 0.078688 0.161432 0.322296 0.616173 1.114441 1.999049
2026-05-24 0.032114 0.074514 0.157247 0.321987 0.629388 1.160250 2.118439
2026-05-31 0.029489 0.070755 0.153468 0.322037 0.643075 1.207358 2.242122
2026-06-07 0.027185 0.067396 0.150135 0.322588 0.657559 1.256394 2.371283
2026-06-14 0.025583 0.065393 0.149324 0.327937 0.681227 1.322708 2.533663
2026-06-21 0.024387 0.064167 0.149982 0.336209 0.710869 1.401093 2.720967
2026-06-28 0.022823 0.061890 0.148199 0.339322 0.730615 1.462288 2.880002
2026-07-05 0.021619 0.060330 0.147806 0.345239 0.756147 1.535281 3.063668